Quick Election Day update: The Spanish secret service still has not been able to authenticate the alleged Al Qaeda video. Voter participation is very high, which is not necessarily a good thing; when extra votes are brought out by a disaster like the Madrid bombing, most of them tend to be emotional and cast by ill-informed people. I'm just going to guess here that what we're going to see tonight will be an even sharper division of Spain into conservative and leftist forces. My bet is that in central Spain the PP will be strengthened and in Catalonia the left will win by a large margin. TV 3 is openly campaigning against the PP. We should have some kind of numbers reasonably soon, and I should be able to tell you who won long before midnight.